銆€銆€銆愭憳瑕併€�2018骞寸稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)甯€冭│鍌欒€冨嵆灏囬枊濮�锛岀挵(hu谩n)鐞冪恫(w菐ng)鏍＄偤骞姪澶у鍌欒€冪壒鍒嗕韩浜嗛粸(di菐n)“2018骞翠腑绱�(j铆)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)甯€冭│缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍩虹(ch菙)鐭ヨ瓨(sh铆)榛�(di菐n)闋�(y霉)缈�(x铆)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)”渚涘ぇ瀹堕爯(y霉)缈�(x铆)鍌欒€�锛屽笇鏈涘皪(du矛)澶у鏈夊公鍔╂洿澶氳硣鏂欐暚璜�(q菒ng)闂�(gu膩n)娉ㄧ挵(hu谩n)鐞冪稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)甯€冭│闋婚亾!

銆€銆€鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鎺ㄨ枽锛�2018骞翠腑绱�(j铆)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)甯€冭│缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍩虹(ch菙)鐭ヨ瓨(sh铆)榛�(di菐n)闋�(y霉)缈�(x铆)鍖附

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍜岀稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曠悊璜�

銆€銆€1銆佺稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍚京锛氱稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鏄寚涓€鍊�(g猫)鍦�(gu贸)瀹舵垨鍦板崁(q奴)鍦ㄤ竴瀹氭檪(sh铆)鏈熷収(n猫i)鐨勭附鐢�(ch菐n)鍑鸿垏鍓嶆湡鐩告瘮鎵€瀵�(sh铆)鐝�(xi脿n)鐨勫闀�(zh菐ng)?锛熷仏a(ch菐n)鍑洪€氬父鐢ㄥ湅(gu贸)鍏�(n猫i)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)绺藉€�(GDP)渚�(l谩i)琛￠噺銆傚皪(du矛)涓€鍦�(gu贸)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)閫熷害鐨勫害閲忥紝閫氬父鐢ㄧ稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜囦締(l谩i)琛ㄧず銆�

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�=鏈勾搴︾稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)绺介噺鐨勫閲�/涓婂勾鎵€瀵�(sh铆)鐝�(xi脿n)鐨勭稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)绺介噺

銆€銆€銆愭敞1銆戣▓(j矛)绠桮DP鏅�(sh铆)鍙互鐢ㄧ従(xi脿n)鍍�(ji脿)瑷�(j矛)绠楋紝涔熷彲浠ョ敤涓嶈畩鍍�(ji脿)鏍艰▓(j矛)绠�銆傜敤鐝�(xi脿n)琛屽児(ji脿)鏍艰▓(j矛)绠楃殑GDP锛屽彲浠ュ弽鏄犱竴鍊�(g猫)鍦�(gu贸)瀹舵垨鍦板崁(q奴)鐨勭稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曡(gu墨)妯�銆傜敤涓嶈畩鍍�(ji脿)鏍艰▓(j矛)绠楃殑GDP,鍙互鐢ㄤ締(l谩i)瑷�(j矛)绠楃稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)閫熷害銆�

銆€銆€銆愭敞2銆戠稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜囨槸涓€鍊�(g猫)鍦�(gu贸)瀹剁附楂旂稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)瀵�(sh铆)鍔涘闀�(zh菐ng)閫熷害鐨勬(bi膩o)蹇楋紝浣咷DP鏄竴鍊�(g猫)琛￠噺绺界敘(ch菐n)鍑虹殑姒傚康锛屽苟涓嶅寘鍚即闅ㄧ稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)甯朵締(l谩i)鐨勭敓鎱�(t脿i)鑸囩挵(hu谩n)澧冭畩鍖栫殑褰遍熆锛屽洜姝ょ稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜囧苟涓嶈兘鍏ㄩ潰鍙嶆噳(y墨ng)涓€鍊�(g猫)鍦�(gu贸)瀹舵垨鍦板崁(q奴)鐨勭稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曠殑瀵�(sh铆)闅涚媭娉�銆�

銆€銆€2銆佺稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曠殑鍚京锛氱稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曟槸涓€鍊�(g猫)姣旂稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍚京鏇村唬鐨勬蹇�銆傜稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曟棦鍖呮嫭缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)锛岄倓鍖呮嫭浼撮毃缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)閬庣▼鑰屽嚭鐝�(xi脿n)鐨勬妧琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝�銆佺祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)鍎�(y艒u)鍖�銆佸埗搴﹁畩閬枫€佺鍒╂敼鍠勪互鍙婁汉鑸囪嚜鐒朵箣闁撻棞(gu膩n)绯荤殑閫�(j矛n)涓€姝ュ拰璜х瓑鏂归潰鐨勫収(n猫i)瀹�銆�

銆€銆€3銆佺稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鑸囩稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曠殑闂�(gu膩n)绯伙細缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鏄稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞曠殑鍩虹(ch菙)锛屾矑鏈変竴瀹氱殑缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)锛屽氨涓嶆渻(hu矛)鏈夌稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞�锛屼絾缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)骞朵笉绨�(ji菐n)鍠殑绛夊悓浜庣稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐧�(f膩)灞�銆備笉閲嶈璩�(zh矛)閲忓拰鏁堢泭锛屼笉閲嶈缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)銆佹斂娌诲拰鏂囧寲鐨勫崝(xi茅)瑾�(di脿o)鐧�(f膩)灞�锛屼笉閲嶈浜鸿垏鑷劧鐨勫拰璜э紝灏辨渻(hu矛)鍑虹従(xi脿n)澧為暦(zh菐ng)澶辫(di脿o)锛屽緸鑰屽埗绱勭櫦(f膩)灞曠殑涓嶈壇灞€闈€€�

銆€銆€4銆佹焙瀹氱稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勫熀鏈洜绱狅細涓昏鏈夊嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鐨勬姇鍏ユ暩(sh霉)閲忓拰鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜�銆佽硣鏈姇鍏ユ暩(sh霉)閲忓拰璩囨湰鏁堢巼銆�

銆€?銆佽潮瓒�?d貌ng)鐨勬姇鍏ユ暩(sh霉)閲忥細鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鎶曞叆鏁�(sh霉)閲忓彇姹轰簬浜哄彛瑕�(gu墨)妯″拰浜哄彛绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)浠ュ強鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鑰呮姇鍏ョ殑鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鏅�(sh铆)闁撶殑澶氬皯銆�

銆€?銆佽矮Y鏈殑鎶曞叆鏁�(sh霉)閲忥細璩囨湰鐨勬姇鍏ユ暩(sh霉)閲忓彈璩囨湰鐨勫埄鐢ㄧ巼鎴栫敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑳藉姏鍒╃敤鐜囥€�

銆€?銆佽箤瓒�?d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囷細鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囦竴鑸敤鍦ㄤ竴瀹氭檪(sh铆)闁撳収(n猫i)姣忓€�(g猫)鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鑰呮墍鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐨凣DP锛屾垨鍠綅鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鏅�(sh铆)闁撴墍鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐨凣DP渚�(l谩i)瑷�(j矛)绠椼€傚湪鍚屾ǎ鐨勫嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鎶曞叆鐨勬儏娉佷笅锛屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囩殑鎻愰珮灏卞彲浠ュ付渚�(l谩i)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐨勫闀�(zh菐ng)銆�

銆€?銆佽嫓Y鏈殑鏁堢巼锛氫篃灏辨槸鎶曡硣鏁堢泭锛屾槸鎸囧柈浣嶈硣鏈姇鍏ユ暩(sh霉)閲忔墍鑳界敘(ch菐n)鐢熺殑GDP锛屼竴鑸敤GDP鑸囪硣鏈附椤嶇殑姣旂巼渚�(l谩i)琛ㄧず锛屼篃鍙互鐢ㄧ敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍠綅GDP闇€瑕佹姇鍏ョ殑璩囨湰鏁�(sh霉)閲忚〃绀�銆�

銆€銆€鍏朵粬鍥犵礌涓嶈畩鐨勬浠朵笅锛岃硣鏈殑鏁堢巼鎻愰珮灏辨渻(hu矛)甯朵締(l谩i)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)锛屽弽涔�锛岃硣鏈晥鐜囦笅闄嶅氨鏈�(hu矛)灏�(d菐o)鑷寸稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)閫熷害涓嬮檷銆�

銆€銆€5銆佺稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍥犵礌鍒嗚В

銆€銆€鈶犲叐鍥犵礌鍒嗚В娉曪細鍋囧畾鍏朵粬鍥犵礌涓嶈畩锛屾妸缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜囨寜鐓у嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鍜屽嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囧叐闋�(xi脿ng)鍥犵礌閫�(j矛n)琛屽垎瑙�銆�

銆€銆€鍋囧畾缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鍙栨焙浜庡叐鍊�(g猫)鍥犵礌锛屽伐浣滃皬鏅�(sh铆)鏁�(sh霉)(鍗冲嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鏅�(sh铆)闁�)鐨勫鍔犵巼鍜屾瘡灏忔檪(sh铆)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑虹殑澧炲姞鐜�(鍗冲嫗鍕�(d貌ng)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜囩殑澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�)锛氱稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�=宸ヤ綔灏忔檪(sh铆)鏁�(sh霉)鐨勫鍔犵巼+姣忓皬鏅�(sh铆)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑虹殑澧炲姞鐜�

銆€銆€鍗�锛孏Q = GH + GP (寮忎腑锛孏Q锛氱稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�;GH锛氬伐浣滃皬鏅�(sh铆)鏁�(sh霉)澧炲姞鐜�;GP锛氭瘡灏忔檪(sh铆)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑虹殑澧炲姞鐜�)

銆€?銆佽皩類昏洨鑳ょ焊澶デ庤埅?j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鎸夌収鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鎶曞叆銆佽硣鏈姇鍏ュ拰鍏ㄨ绱犵敓鐢�(ch菐n)鐜囩瓑涓夊€�(g猫)鍥犵礌閫�(j矛n)琛屽垎瑙ｏ紝瑷�(j矛)绠楅€欎笁闋�(xi脿ng)鍥犵礌灏�(du矛)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勮并鐛�(xi脿n)浠介銆�

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�=鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ョ巼+(鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�×鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)澧炲姞鐜�)+(璩囨湰鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�×璩囨湰澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�)

銆€銆€鍗筹細GY = GA +αGL+βGk

銆€銆€GA锛氭妧琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ョ巼鎴栧叏瑕佺礌鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜�;α锛歵鏅�(sh铆)鏈熺殑鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�;β锛歵鏅�(sh铆)鏈熺殑璩囨湰鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�

銆€銆€“绱㈢緟浣欏€�”锛�(鍗冲叏瑕佺礌鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐜�锛岀啊(ji菐n)绋盩FP)锛屽嵆灏囧嫗鍕�(d貌ng)銆佽硣鏈瓑瑕佺礌鎶曞叆鏁�(sh霉)閲忕瓑鍥犵礌灏�(du矛)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜囩殑璨㈢嵒(xi脿n)鎵ｉ櫎涔嬪悗锛屾妧琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ュ洜绱犲皪(du矛)缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勮并鐛�(xi脿n)浠介銆�

銆€銆€鎶€琛�(sh霉)閫�(j矛n)姝ョ巼=缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�-(鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�×鍕炲嫊(d貌ng)澧炲姞鐜�)-(璩囨湰鐢�(ch菐n)鍑哄綀鎬�×璩囨湰澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐜�)

銆€銆€GA =銆€GY -αGL-βGk

銆€銆€6銆佺稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡鐨勫惈缇�

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鍛ㄦ湡鍙堢ū鍟嗘キ(y猫)寰挵(hu谩n)锛屾槸鎸囩附楂旂稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)娲诲嫊(d貌ng)娌胯憲缍�(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)澧為暦(zh菐ng)鐨勭附楂旇定鍕�(sh矛)鑰屽嚭鐝�(xi脿n)鐨勬湁瑕�(gu墨)寰嬬殑鎿�(ku貌)寮靛拰鏀剁府銆�

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