2012骞寸稉(j墨ng)婵熷斧銆婁腑绱氭皯鑸亱杓稿皥妤�(y猫)銆嬶細绗簲绔�(2)3

銆€銆€涓�銆佺敓鐢�(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯℃焙绛�

銆€銆€鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯℃焙绛栦富瑕佹焙瀹氳埅绌洪亱杓哥敓鐢�(ch菐n)鐨勭附?c猫)铦�?w霉)閲�锛屽嵆鎳�(y墨ng)瑭插畬鎴愬灏戦亱杓搁噺銆佸懆杞�(zhu菐n)閲忔垨鍚炲悙閲忋€傚畠鏄埗瀹氳埅鐝▓鍔冭垏鑸窔閬嬭几鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑷堝妰鐨勯噸瑕佷緷鎿�(j霉)涔嬩竴銆�(閲嶉粸)

銆€銆€(涓€)浼佹キ(y猫)绔剁埈鑳藉姏鍒嗘瀽

銆€銆€浼佹キ(y猫)绔剁埈鑳藉姏鏄寚鍦ㄦ煇涓€甯傚牬涓婏紝浼佹キ(y猫)鑸囧叾浠栦紒妤�(y猫)閫茶绔剁埈锛屽崰鏈変竴瀹氬競鍫翠唤椤嶇殑鑳藉姏銆傚奖闊胯埅绌哄叕鍙哥鐖兘鍔涚殑涓昏鍥犵礌鏈夛細瀹夊叏绱€閷勩€佹湇鍕�(w霉)璩�(zh矛)閲�銆佽埅鐝甯告€�銆佽埅鐝牷鐜囪垏鏅傚埢銆佷績閵锋墜娈�銆侀姺鍞笭閬�銆佹鍨�銆佹湁鐒＄稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸绛夈€�

銆€銆€瑾槑锛氭脯绠椾紒妤�(y猫)甯傚牬浠介鐨勬柟娉曟槸2011鐝€冭│鎸囧皫鐢ㄦ浉鏂板鍏�(n猫i)瀹�銆�

銆€銆€娓畻浼佹キ(y猫)甯傚牬浠介鐨勬柟娉曟湁锛�

銆€銆€1銆佽定鍕㈠鎺ㄦ硶

銆€銆€瓒ㄥ嫝澶栨帹娉曞嵆鐢ㄦ骞翠締甯傚牬鍗犳湁鐜囩殑璁婂寲瓒ㄥ嫝闋�(y霉)瑷堟湭渚嗙殑甯傚牬鍗犳湁鐜囥€�

銆€銆€2銆佹寜鎻愪緵浣滃骇浣嶆瘮渚嬫脯绠楀競鍫村崰鏈夌巼锛�

銆€銆€鏌愬叕鍙稿競鍫村崰鏈夌巼=瑭插叕鍙歌埅鐝瘡鍛ㄥ骇浣嶆暩(sh霉)/甯傚牬涓婅埅鐝瘡鍛ㄥ骇浣嶆暩(sh霉)鍚堣▓銆�

銆€銆€3銆佹寜鑸彮鐩稿皪鍚稿紩鍔涙脯绠楀競鍫村崰鏈夌巼

銆€銆€鑸彮甯傚牬鍗犳湁鐜�=鑸彮鐩稿皪鍚稿紩鍔�/甯傚牬涓婃墍鏈夎埅鐝浉灏嶅惛寮曞姏涔嬪拰

銆€銆€鑸彮鐩稿皪鍚稿紩鍔�=姣忓懆鎻愪緵搴т綅鏁�(sh霉)脳缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙鏄弿杩拌埅鐝稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸澧炲姞灏庤嚧灏嶆梾瀹㈠惛寮曞姏涓嬮檷鐨勪竴鍊嬮噺銆傞噰鐢ㄧ稉(j墨ng)椹楁暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)锛岀附鏄浉灏嶄簬鏈€浣宠埅鐝€岃█锛屾渶浣宠埅鐝稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙绛変簬1.

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)鍏镐緥椤岋細鏍规摎(j霉)娉㈤煶鍏徃鐨勬暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鏁�(sh霉)鐐�0鏅傦紝缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙鐐�1锛岀稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鏁�(sh霉)鐐�1鏅傦紝缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙鐐�0.5锛岀稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鏁�(sh霉)鐐�2鏅�锛岀稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙鐐�0.35锛岀稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鏁�(sh霉)鐐�3鏅傦紝缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸鍥犲瓙鐐�0.27銆�

銆€銆€瑷�(sh猫)AA-CC甯傚牬姣忓懆骞冲潎闇€姹�1000浜烘锛屾湁X鑸嘫鍏╁鍏徃閬嬬嚐銆俋鍏徃娌掓湁缍�(j墨ng)鍋滈粸锛屾瘡鍛�3鐝紝姣忕彮200搴�锛孻鍏徃鏈�1鍊嬬稉(j墨ng)鍋滈粸锛屾瘡鍛�7鐝紝姣忕彮150搴�銆�

銆€銆€鎸夋彁渚涘骇浣嶆脯绠梄鍏徃鑸嘫鍏徃鐨勫競鍫村崰鏈夌巼銆�

銆€銆€銆愯▓绠楅亷绋嬨€戞牴鎿�(j霉)鍏紡锛孹鍏徃姣忓懆搴т綅鏁�(sh霉)鐐�200脳3=600;Y鍏徃姣忓懆搴т綅鏁�(sh霉)鐐�1500脳7=1050;甯傚牬涓婅埅鐝瘡鍛ㄥ骇浣嶆暩(sh霉)鍚堣▓鐐�600+1050=1650;

銆€銆€鎵€浠ワ紝X鍏徃鐨勫競鍫村崰鏈夌巼=600/1650=0.364

銆€銆€Y鍏徃鐨勫競鍫村崰鏈夌巼=1050/1650=0.636

銆€銆€鎸夎埅鐝浉灏嶅惛寮曞姏娓畻X鍏徃鑸嘫鍏徃鐨勫競鍫村崰鏈夌巼銆�

銆€銆€銆愯▓绠楅亷绋嬨€戞牴鎿�(j霉)鍏紡锛孹鍏徃鑸彮鐩稿皪鍚稿紩鍔�=600脳1=600;Y鍏徃鑸彮鐩稿皪鍚稿紩鍔�=1050脳0.5=525; 甯傚牬涓婃墍鏈夎埅鐝浉灏嶅惛寮曞姏涔嬪拰=600+525=1125.

銆€銆€鎵€浠�锛孹鍏徃甯傚牬鍗犳湁鐜�=600/1125=0.53

銆€銆€Y鍏徃甯傚牬鍗犳湁鐜�=525/1125=0.47

銆€銆€(涓�)淇濇湰榛炲垎鏋�

銆€銆€淇濇湰榛炴槸鎸囦紒妤�(y猫)铏曚簬鏃笉鐩堝埄銆佷篃涓嶈櫑鎼嶇媭鎱�(t脿i)鏅傜殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯�

銆€銆€瑷�(sh猫)鍍规牸鐐篜锛屾キ(y猫)鍕�(w霉)閲忕偤x锛屽浐瀹氭垚鏈偤a锛屽柈浣嶈畩鍕曟垚鏈偤b锛岀暥鐩堣櫑骞宠　鏅�锛屽埄娼ょ偤0锛屽洜姝ゆ湁涓嬪垪瑷堢畻闂�(gu膩n)绯伙細

銆€銆€Px-a-bx=0

銆€銆€px-bx=a

銆€銆€(P-b)x=a

銆€銆€x=a梅(P-b)

銆€銆€鍏朵腑(P-b)绋辩偤鍠綅鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佽并鐛绘瘺鐩�锛屽畠鏄柈浣嶇敘(ch菐n)鍝侀姺鍞敹鍏ュぇ浜庡柈浣嶈畩鍕曟垚鏈殑閮ㄥ垎锛屽奖闊胯憲淇濇湰榛炵殑姘村钩銆�

銆€銆€銆愮稉(j墨ng)鍏镐緥椤屻€戣ō(sh猫)鏌愯埅绌哄叕鍙稿彧缍�(j墨ng)鐕熷湅鍏�(n猫i)鏃呭閬嬭几锛屽叾骞村浐瀹氭垚鏈�1000钀厓锛屽钩鍧囨瘡涓€瀹㈠叕閲岀殑璁婂嫊鎴愭湰0.5鍏冿紝姣忎竴瀹㈠叕閲屾敹鍏�1鍏�锛屾眰瑭茶埅绌哄叕鍙镐繚鏈粸銆�

銆€銆€銆愯▓绠楅亷绋嬨€戝浐瀹氭垚鏈琣=10000000锛屾瘡涓€瀹㈠叕閲屾敹鍏ュ皪娑堣不鑰呰€岃█灏辨槸鍟嗗搧鐨勫児鏍�锛屽洜鑰屽児鏍糚=1锛屽柈浣嶈畩鍕曟垚鏈琤=0.5锛屽墖鏍规摎(j霉)鍏紡锛�

銆€銆€淇濇湰榛瀀=10000000/(1-0.5)=2000钀鍏噷

銆€銆€鐣朵紒妤�(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)涓嶅悓鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佹垨鏈嶅嫏(w霉)锛屼笖鍠綅鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佽畩鍕曟垚鏈笉鍚屾檪锛屾噳(y墨ng)鍏堟眰鍑哄悇绋敘(ch菐n)鍝佺殑鍠綅璨㈢嵒姣涚泭锛屾牴鎿�(j霉)鍚勭ó鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佺殑娆�(qu谩n)閲嶆眰鍑哄姞娆�(qu谩n)骞冲潎鍠綅鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佽并鐛绘瘺鐩婏紝鐒跺悗姹傚嚭缍滃悎淇濇湰榛�锛屾渶鍚庡啀鎸夊悇绋敘(ch菐n)鍝佺殑娆�(qu谩n)閲嶈▓绠楀叾鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯�銆備締鐪嬫浉涓婄殑渚嬪瓙銆�

銆€銆€鏌愬叕鍙告彁渚涘湅闅涘璨ㄩ亱鍜屽湅鍏�(n猫i)瀹㈣波閬嬫湇鍕�(w霉)锛屽叾骞村浐瀹氭垚鏈附椤�2.68鍎勫厓锛屽叾浠栬硣鏂欒鑰冭│鐢ㄦ浉绗�67闋佽〃5-4鎵€绀�銆�

銆€銆€鍦嬮殯瀹㈤亱鍣稿叕閲岄姺鍞敹鍏�14鍏冿紝鍣稿叕閲岃畩鍕曟垚鏈�12鍏�锛屽洜姝-b=2,鍗犵敓鐢�(ch菐n)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)浠介30%锛屽湅闅涜波閬嬪櫢鍏噷閵峰敭鏀跺叆4鍏�锛屽櫢鍏噷璁婂嫊鎴愭湰3鍏�锛屽洜姝-b=1锛屽崰鐢熺敘(ch菐n)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)浠介10%锛屽湅鍏�(n猫i)瀹㈤亱鍣稿叕閲岄姺鍞敹鍏�7鍏�锛屽櫢鍏噷璁婂嫊鎴愭湰5.5鍏冿紝鍥犳p-b=1.5锛屽崰鐢熺敘(ch菐n)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)浠介40%锛屽湅鍏�(n猫i)璨ㄩ亱鍣稿叕閲岄姺鍞敹鍏�1.2鍏�锛屽櫢鍏噷璁婂嫊鎴愭湰1鍏冿紝p-b=0.2锛屽崰鐢熺敘(ch菐n)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)浠介0.2鍏冦€�

銆€銆€鍔犳瑠(qu谩n)骞冲潎鍠綅鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佽并鐛绘瘺鐩�=2脳30%+1脳10%+1.5脳40%+0.2脳20%=1.34

銆€銆€缍滃悎淇濇湰榛烇細26800梅1.34=20000钀琓K

銆€銆€鍏朵腑锛屽湅闅涘閬�=20000脳0.3=6000钀琓K

銆€銆€鍦嬮殯璨ㄩ亱=20000脳0.1=2000钀琓K

銆€銆€鍦嬪収(n猫i)瀹㈤亱=20000脳0.4=8000钀琓K

銆€銆€鍦嬪収(n猫i)璨ㄩ亱=20000脳0.2=4000钀琓K

銆€銆€(鍥�)鍒╂饯鐩鍒嗘瀽

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銆€銆€瀵︾従(xi脿n)鍒╂饯鐩鎵€闇€鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯�=鍒╂饯鐩绺介/闋�(y霉)瑷堝櫢鍏噷鍒╂饯姘村钩

銆€銆€鑻ヤ紒妤�(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鐢卞绋敘(ch菐n)鍝佹(g貌u)鎴�锛屽墖鎳�(y墨ng)鍏堟眰鍑哄姞娆�(qu谩n)骞冲潎鍒╂饯锛屾牴鎿�(j霉)鍔犳瑠(qu谩n)骞冲潎鍒╂饯姹傚緱缍滃悎鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯�锛岀劧鍚庡啀姹傚嚭鍚勭ó鐢�(ch菐n)鍝佺殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯�銆�

銆€銆€(浜�)浼佹キ(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑳藉姏鍒嗘瀽

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銆€銆€纰哄畾鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯℃檪锛屽繀闋堝厖鍒嗚€冩叜浼佹キ(y猫)鍦ㄨ▓鍔冩湡鍙兘鎿佹湁鐨勭敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑳藉姏銆傛墍纰哄畾鐨勭敓鐢�(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯℃棦瑕佸垏瀵﹀彲琛�锛屽張瑕佷娇鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑳藉姏寰楀埌鍏呭垎鍒╃敤銆�

銆€銆€鑸┖閬嬭几浼佹キ(y猫)鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑳藉姏鍖呮嫭姗熼殜鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑳藉姏銆佹绲勭敓鐢�(ch菐n)鑳藉姏銆佺嚐閵疯垏鍦伴潰鏈嶅嫏(w霉)鑳藉姏銆佽埅鏉愯垏鑸补渚涙噳(y墨ng)淇濋殰鑳藉姏銆�

銆€銆€姗熼殜鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鑳藉姏鍒嗘瀽锛屾寚妯欐槸姗熼殜鍙彁渚涢亱杓搁琛屽皬鏅傚拰閬斿埌鐢熺敘(ch菐n)瑕�(gu墨)妯℃墍闇€閬嬭几椋涜灏忔檪銆傞€欏叐鍊嬫寚妯欑殑瑷堢畻鍏紡璜嬪ぇ瀹剁湅鑰冭│鎸囧皫鐢ㄦ浉绗�69闋�銆�

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